Musika wezvidyarwa zvakakura zvePV muChina wakadzikira neinopfuura chikamu chimwe muzvitatu muna 2018 nekuda kwekugadziriswa kwemutemo weChinese, izvo zvakakonzera kuwanda kwemidziyo yakachipa pasi rose, ichityaira mitengo yepasi rose yePV itsva (isina-kutevera) kudzika kusvika pamadhora makumi matanhatu/MWh hafu yechipiri ye2018, pasi 13% kubva pachikamu chekutanga chegore.
Mutengo weBNEF wepasi rose wekugadzira mhepo yepamhenderekedzo yegungwa waive madhora makumi mashanu nemaviri/MWh, zvichidzika ne6% kubva muhafu yekutanga yeongororo ya2018.Izvi zvakaitwa pakatarisana nekumashure kwematurbines akachipa uye dhora rakasimba.MuIndia neTexas, simba remhepo remugungwa risingashandiswe rave kuchipa se$27/MWh.
Nhasi, simba remhepo riri kupfuura rakasanganiswa kutenderera gasi-kupfurwa (CCGT) zvidyarwa zvinopihwa neyakachipa shale gasi sesosi yechizvarwa chitsva chakawanda munzvimbo zhinji dzeUnited States.Kana mitengo yegasi yechisikigo ikadarika madhora matatu/MMBtu, ongororo yeBNEF inoratidza kuti maCCGT matsva uye aripo achange ari panjodzi yekukurumidza kuderedzwa.solar itsvauye simba remhepo.Izvi zvinoreva kuti nguva shoma yekumhanya uye kuchinjika kukuru kune matekinoroji akadai seakasikwa gasi peaker zvidyarwa uye mabhatiri ari kuita nemazvo pamwero wakaderera wekushandisa (capacity factors).
Kuwedzera mubereko kuChina neUS kwakaisa kumanikidza kwepamusoro pakubhadhara mari yePV nemhepo mumakore maviri apfuura, asi mitengo yese iri mishoma nekuderera kwemutengo wemidziyo.
MuAsia Pacific, kutengwa kwegasi remuzvarirwo kunodhura kunoreva kuti zvidyarwa zvitsva zvakasanganiswa zvegasi zvinoramba zvisina kukwikwidza pane zvidyarwa zvitsva zvinopiswa nemarasha pamadhora makumi mashanu neshanu nemazana masere nerimwe/MWh.Ichi chinoramba chiri chipingamupinyi chikuru kudzikisa kusimba kwekabhoni yekugadzirwa kwemagetsi mudunhu rino.
Parizvino, mabhatiri enguva pfupi ndiwo anochipa sosi yekupindura kutsva nekukurumidza uye huwandu hwepamusoro mune ese makuru ehupfumi kunze kweUS.MuUS, gasi remusikirwo rakachipa rinopa mukana wekukwira pamusoro pemagetsi emagetsi egasi.Maererano neshumo ichangobva kuitika, mari yebhatiri ichadonha imwe 66% ne2030 sezvo indasitiri yekugadzira mota yemagetsi ichikura zvakanyanya.Izvi zvinoreva kudzikira kwemitengo yekuchengetera bhatiri yeindasitiri yemagetsi, kudzikisira mutengo wemagetsi epamusoro uye kugona kuchinjika kusvika kumatanho asina kumbobvira aitwa nezvimiro zvefossil-fueled peaker.
Mabhatiri akabatana nePV kana mhepo ari kuwedzera kuwanda, uye kuongororwa kweBNEF kunoratidza kuti zvirimwa zvitsva zvezuva nemhepo zvine 4-awa mabhatiri ekuchengetera masisitimu atove anodhura-anokwikwidza pasina rubatsiro kana achienzaniswa neatsva anopfurwa nemarasha uye matsva anopisa gasi zvirimwa Australia neIndia.
Nguva yekutumira: Oct-22-2021